U.S. gold futures ended higher on Monday as a weaker dollar boosted bullion’s appeal as a hedge against the weakening value of paper assets due to currency depreciation. Gold, little changed in London Monday, may gain on speculation a weaker dollar will boost the metal’s appeal as an alternative investment.
The Dollar Index, a six-currency gauge of the greenback’s strength, fell as much as 0.3 percent Monday. Bullion has climbed 20 percent this year as investors sought to protect their wealth from the declining dollar and as a hedge against inflation. Gold prices, heading for a ninth annual gain, reached a record US$1,070.80 an ounce on Oct. 14.
“It is still too premature to short gold,” Andrey Kryuchenkov, a VTB Capital analyst in London, said Monday in a report.
Immediate-delivery bullion added US$2.72, or 0.3 percent, to US$1,056.32 an ounce at 11:36 a.m. local time. The metal rose 0.4 percent last week, the eighth gain in nine weeks. December gold futures were 0.5 percent higher at US$1,057.10 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange’s Comex division.
CME Group Inc. will allow gold to be used as collateral to back trades on its exchange, according to a member notice dated Oct. 16. Gold would be the first commodity to be used as margin on CME trades, spokesman Jeremy Hughes said by phone Monday.
The metal gained to US$1,054.50 in the morning “fixing” in London, used by some mining companies to sell production, from US$1,047.50 at the afternoon fixing on Oct. 16. Still, nine of 16 traders, investors and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg, or 56 percent, said bullion would fall this week. Five forecast higher prices and two were neutral.
“The whole market is expecting to see some consolidation first before another round of buying,” said Kate Harada, a senior trader with Mitsubishi Corp. Futures & Securities Ltd. in Tokyo.
UBS AG raised its one-month and three-month forecasts for gold to US$1,000 an ounce and US$1,050 an ounce, from US$950 and US$1,000 respectively, John Reade, the bank’s head metals strategist in London, said Monday in a report. Gold holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust, the biggest exchange- traded fund backed by bullion, were unchanged for a seventh day at 1,109.31 metric tons on Oct. 16, according to the company’s Web site.
Assets in ETF Securities Ltd.’s exchange-traded products fell 5.1 percent to 8.068 million ounces on Oct. 16, its Web site showed.
An investor who recently bought shares in one of the company’s gold products made a “one-off” transaction, Nicholas Brooks, head of research and investment at ETF Securities, said Monday by phone. He declined to name the investor.
UBS also raised its one-month and three-month forecast for silver to US$16 an ounce and US$17.50 an ounce, from US$14 and US$15.50 respectively. The bank increased its three-month platinum estimate to US$1,375 from US$1,275, and its three-month palladium forecast to US$330 from US$240.
Silver for immediate delivery in London added 0.3 percent to US$17.515 an ounce. Platinum rose 0.6 percent to US$1,350.95 an ounce, while palladium lost 0.2 percent to US$328.50 an ounce.